Avoid these WRs
These guys carry some serious risk at their current ADPs. Draft at your own peril!
WR Garrett Wilson (NYJ)
He earned a dominant target share when he was healthy at the start of last season… But coming off a serious knee injury and now walking into a suddenly loaded receiver room, Wilson's price doesn't reflect the risk stacking up in New York.
Missed the final weeks of 2025 with a knee sprain/aggravation that will need to be monitored heading into 2026.
The Jets ranked dead last in passing yards in 2025, and while Geno Smith now leads the offense, that quarterback situation is unproven.
New arrivals Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq (both first-round picks) plus Adonai Mitchell create real target competition just as Wilson returns from injury.
Between the injury recovery and a suddenly crowded pass-catching corps, Wilson carries more landmine risk than his draft price suggests.
Jauan Jennings (MIN)
After scoring a bunch of touchdowns last year in San Francisco, Jennings cashed a nice free-agent paycheck in Minnesota, but he's walking into target competition, not a better role.
He's projected to work as the third or fourth read behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson.
Ranked just 47th in targets last season, leaning almost entirely on nine touchdowns to reach fantasy relevance.
Averaged only 11.6 fantasy points per game (30th among WRs), well outside every-week starter territory.
Without a real jump in target share behind three established pass-catchers, Jennings profiles as touchdown-dependent depth… not a player worth spending a pick on.
DK Metcalf (PIT)
Metcalf still carries name value on draft boards, but his shrinking role and touchdown-heavy production make him a riskier bet in 2026.
Finished 2025 with only 59 receptions (his fewest since his rookie year), and ranked just 29th in targets.
Was consistently touchdown-dependent, failing to top 55 receiving yards in eleven games in 2025. That’s a massive disappointment for a guy who is supposed to be a top-tier athlete and wide receiver.
Now shares the WR room with newly acquired Michael Pittman Jr. and faces the 2nd-hardest schedule for WRs in the league in 2026.
A shrinking target share, touchdown-reliant scoring, and a brutal schedule make Metcalf a tougher sell than his name recognition implies.
Alec Pierce (IND)
Pierce's breakout season was legit. He led the league in air yards share and was 2nd in yards per reception. He was a sensational downfield threat… but a spring ankle surgery has thrown his 2026 outlook into real question.
Had ankle surgery in late April with a 4-6 month recovery window, and has acknowledged himself that Week 1 could be in jeopardy.
Reports of his targets doubling toward 150+ should be treated with heavy skepticism… his career high was just 84.
Josh Downs and Tyler Warren both out-targeted him in 2025 and are growing in their own roles, meaning the Colts have plenty of mouths to feed.
Until there's real clarity on his recovery timeline, Pierce is a health gamble wearing a WR1 label.
Drake London (ATL)
London's per-game numbers are elite, but durability concerns and a new run-heavy coaching staff make him a riskier pick than his draft slot suggests.
Missed 5 games in 2025 with hip and knee injuries, making availability the central annual concern.
New HC Kevin Stefanski's offenses have historically been run-heavy, a potential headwind for target volume.
Bijan Robinson's massive receiving role (100 targets in 2025) puts a soft ceiling on how high London's target share can climb.
The talent isn't in question, but between the injury history and a run-first coaching change, London carries more downside than his price reflects.
So that’s the list. Avoid these recievers in your draft unless they fall to a more acceptable draft position.
-Joe