WE ARE BACK.It's The Touchdown Press Newsletter. Your daily source for all things fantasy football & sports betting, along with 10,000+ fellow degenerates.
We are now 58-51 (lifetime) with our free daily PrizePicks plays directly in this email. Be sure to share with your friends.
Let's keep it going!
• FREE Fantasy Football Rankings UPDATE! Here's the draft kit as well.• SHARE the The Football Press with a friend• Today's 3 PrizePicks (see below to claim your free $100 bet)
1. Tony Pollard (DAL), ADP 81.3, RB27:
Zeke is still a fantasy darling (at cost), but I see signs of a Pollard takeover.
Elliott saw declining returns in '21.
He had career lows in yards per game, and his worst-ever catch rate (@sloanpiva at the Sporting News).
Pollard looks more athletic right now:
Pollard bested Zeke in these areas (per Player Profiler):
• 34.9% juke rate (5th)
• 5.1 yards per carry (5th)
• 6.2 yards per touch (2nd)
• 8.5% breakaway rate (3rd)
Receiving game numbers looked great too:
• 84.8% catch rate (3rd)
• 2.5 yards per route run (1st)
• 8.6 yards per reception (10th)
The Cowboys also boast the 6th easiest RB strength of schedule (FantasyPros).
What am I missing here?
Pollard is the better value/risk by a mile.
You can correlate a nice bet here depending on which side you are on.
PrizePicks lists Zeke at 875.5 rush yards and Pollard at 690.5.
2. Tyler Allgeier (ATL), ADP 146.3, RB47:
The young guy did pretty well his last two seasons at BYU.
His PFF rushing grade ranked 3rd, he was 2nd in TDs, and 1st in yards after contact
(FantasyPros- @AndrewErickson_ ).
In 2021 alone:
• 5.8 yards per rush
• 23 touchdowns
• 28 catches
New situation is especially encouraging:
Cordarelle Patterson is 31 and already has a strange hybrid role.
He also faded hard down the stretch.
Over the final 4 games he averaged fewer than 8 carries and failed to top 8.3 points.
It all adds up to a role for Allgeier - at a great draft price!
3. Gus Edwards (BAL), ADP 157.5, RB49:
Why is Edwards so slept on compared to his teammate J.K. Dobbins (RB21)?
I admit Dobbins has the higher upside.
But looking at the 2020 numbers, I wonder how much higher it really is...
Opportunity share wasn't much different:
40.3% vs. 38.1%
Nor were the total rushing outputs:
805 yards vs. 723 yards
Yes, Dobbins had a terrific 6.1 yards per touch, but Edwards had 5.6 (12th).
And Dobbins had just 1 more red zone touch than Edwards (per PlayerProfiler).
Both guys will play for Baltimore if healthy, and both guys are already capped by Lamar Jackson's mobility.
If you want a piece of this backfield, take the value and the low risk.
Draft Edwards.
Claim your free bet on PrizePicks (up to $100) Use code HOLKA for 100% deposit match (Legal states: AL, AK, AR, AZ, CA, DC, FL, GA, KS, KY, MD, MA, MI, MN, NE, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, VI, WV, WI, WY- and all Canadian provinces except Ontario)
• Exclusive betting content• Referral system (and PRIZES)• YouTube Memberships / Discord UPDATE
Please let me know if you have any feedback! Reply to this email... I would love to hear from you.
-Joe